Flimsy-Mud
0xd3eabf65271e8ad2e9e149980d979cf992ee6860
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.37
Total PnL
$-20.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$1.20
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 31, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$4.00Jan 31, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-01-18?$10.00Jan 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.80Jan 12, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.00Jan 12, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$3.00Jan 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?$5.00Jan 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$2.35Jan 7, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.