Rundown-Slippers
0xd40f29805e4f5e6bc042e4db183837102f56e424
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.06
Total PnL
$-36.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.06
$-0.01
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July?
10994 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.70
- YES
Will JCP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.39May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.41May 19, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.38May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.07May 8, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?$1.10Sep 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.4 in July?$11.70Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jul 31, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.01Jul 31, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.33Jul 31, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >40% on July 1?$2.00Jul 31, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “MAGA / Make America Great Again” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$2.60Jul 31, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?$1.00Jul 3, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMMarlins vs. Diamondbacks$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMSam Altman arrested before July?$1.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".