Exciting-Podcast
0xd413f327a0ac4457e930dd99cb0f7346a121f838
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$101.13
Total PnL
$-329.17
Realised
$590.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
848 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$39.41
$-10.59
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
913 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.06
$-34.94
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.38
$-20.63
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
571 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.71
$-12.29
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.78
$-4.22
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-4.50
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.72
$-1.28
- YES
Anthropic CEO arrested?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.33
$-7.67
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.94
$-3.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRobert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer$15.22May 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?$15.31May 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$10.27May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$10.25May 10, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$10.29May 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$25.45May 5, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$6.64May 3, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$25.59Apr 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs$26.00Apr 19, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?$15.00Apr 4, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$20.00Mar 29, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?$20.00Mar 26, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?$15.19Mar 26, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?$5.00Mar 18, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?$26.08Mar 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?$20.00Mar 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$20.00Mar 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.00Mar 15, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.00Mar 15, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".