Decimal-Covariate
0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$875.32
Total PnL
$-125.41
Realised
$114.04
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
265 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$256.72
$6.23
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
226 shares @ 78.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.23
$33.59
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
199 shares @ 76.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$171.94
$19.09
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
180 shares @ 46.4¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.36
$45.91
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.74
$13.74
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 79.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$32.79
$4.60
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 36.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.75
$12.67
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.80
$-30.20
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
832 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.82
- NO
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
789 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-293.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$245.59Jun 11, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$130.52Jun 11, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$59.33Jun 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$6.84Jun 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$15.58Jun 1, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$72.00Jun 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$20.00Jun 1, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.2KJun 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$397.11Jun 1, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$19.67May 31, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$13.13May 31, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$28.47May 31, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$7.98May 30, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?$13.53May 30, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$5.06May 30, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$42.64May 30, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$23.00May 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$1.00May 30, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$30.00May 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$20.00May 30, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $104.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.