Trusting-Hearing
0xd41b3c6c25baaf773bef7757639cde8a48e783a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$644.50
Total PnL
$-95.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
222 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$212.23
$7.23
- NO
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
101 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$100.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
101 shares @ 98.6¢·now 63.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$63.92
$-36.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
74 shares @ 74.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.68
$-1.32
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
49 shares @ 81.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
160 shares @ 53.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.18
$-53.82
- YES
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$30.71
$10.71
- NO
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$25.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
45 shares @ 89.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.18
$-24.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.