Villainous-Founding
0xd42c1e6d08e0cb6a986914212b7006727bb69a9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$125.36
Total PnL
$-12.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 17.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.80
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
37 shares @ 6.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.76
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.71
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.69
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.66
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.61
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.59
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.56
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 24?
43 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.55
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 23?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.55
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 24?$1.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 23?$2.54Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?$2.54Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 23?$2.52Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 23?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 24?$1.90Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 23?$1.77Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 23?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?$2.55Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?$2.53Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?$2.54Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?$2.62Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?$2.54Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 24?$2.54Jun 22, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 24?$2.62Jun 22, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?$2.54Jun 22, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.