Awful-Harbor
0xd43fe70266887eac04a3730d1bdf2e792f77ea81
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$470.06
Total PnL
$-174.92
Realised
$12.73
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
374 shares @ 53.7¢·now 79.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$297.08
$96.18
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
693 shares @ 33.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$121.22
$-109.89
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
490 shares @ 23.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.45
$-62.05
- YES
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.31
$-0.10
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 30?
1240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 20?
1226 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 22?
1176 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 26?
1165 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 29?
1158 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $44.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.