Expensive-Workshop
0xd44c2de98e5b4e2d3b9d23a9cde790f693511223
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-16.6K
Realised
$-4.0K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
4340 shares @ 56.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.5K
$61.81
- NO
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$710.00
$-80.00
- NO
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1303 shares @ 63.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$514.87
$-313.17
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
10100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$333.30
$36.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.03
$1.01
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
65000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
10665 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.96
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
10000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-360.00
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
7817 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$58.36May 26, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$6.87May 26, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$0.04May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$158.94May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$0.04May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$0.14May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$81.82May 26, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.9KMay 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$796.02Apr 20, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$700.00Apr 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$191.13Mar 31, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$228.87Mar 31, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$231.50Mar 29, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$526.80Mar 29, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.3KMar 28, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$25.87Mar 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.15Mar 27, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $142.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".