Belated-Choker
0xd4806fd5d0932dc84793bd040276c8a24ac74854
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$5.88
Total PnL
$-395.01
Realised
$21.58
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$0.60
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
25 shares @ 9.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-1.51
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
19 shares @ 15.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-2.01
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
3 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.41
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-4.82
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
306 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.54Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.55Jun 11, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET$0.00May 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET$5.06May 10, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET$1.06May 9, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET$1.06May 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET$5.31May 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.12May 8, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET$1.05May 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET$2.10May 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET$1.06May 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.63May 8, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00May 7, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.20May 7, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00May 7, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.06May 7, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.06May 7, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.06May 7, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.