Important-Sardine
0xd48344fe850939839850a9822a7e286165e68873
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
269 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
76 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$10.17May 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$0.63Apr 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$1.03Apr 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?$1.04Apr 29, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$2.07Apr 29, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 25, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$12.05Apr 25, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$12.50Apr 25, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.00Apr 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.00Apr 18, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$14.61Apr 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMSentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$7.33Apr 17, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.