0xd493db6324dd6f4cba7058019af77e74437ad21a
0xd493db6324dd6f4cba7058019af77e74437ad21a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$304.15
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-516.61
Win rate
27%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$62.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$56.11
$6.11
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?
46 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$46.40
$22.74
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$45.69
$-4.31
- NO
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
41 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.58
$3.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18?
29 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$29.49
$9.73
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 79.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?
290 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-124.24
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13?
179 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-98.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 30, 22:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.