Oily-Mantle
0xd49cb4be2575c0521e9bb2c00d5f0a3bfdc9ddd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$30.25
Total PnL
$-24.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
13 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.06
$0.06
- ALEJANDRO DAVIDOVICH FOKINA
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.81
$0.81
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- KAREN KHACHANOV
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.75
$0.75
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
4880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 19?
4120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
1037 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$13.01May 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea$3.02May 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur$5.02May 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev$5.01May 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$1.02May 23, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$1.02May 23, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Ursa vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D$3.80May 23, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.29May 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.01May 3, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Ursa vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D$3.02May 3, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00May 3, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.02May 3, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.03May 3, 09:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.96Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.33Mar 31, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Mar 30, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.35Mar 29, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.30Mar 28, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Mar 27, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.27Mar 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".