Repulsive-Gas
0xd49d0db04cd299fc7a7c7268e0f3ff536ca56d5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
169
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-488.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1895 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?
433 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?
160 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 25?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 28?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$15.33Jul 14, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.15Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins AND Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2.00Jul 10, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox$1.00Jul 10, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.00Jul 10, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins AND Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$0.99Jul 10, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$20.04Jul 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$0.04Jul 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$0.01Jul 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$0.00Jul 10, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 13?$0.10Jul 10, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$0.05Jul 9, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$0.05Jul 8, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles$3.90Jul 8, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?$0.10Jul 8, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.02Jul 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 10?$0.10Jul 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 9?$0.20Jul 7, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$0.03Jul 7, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.