Muddy-Manacle
0xd4c1f431fce788263381e174f2fc883765e97b24
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
2876 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
2338 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1978 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-989.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1792 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-896.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1238 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-619.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
1110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-555.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1066 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-533.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $2.41May 25, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.81May 25, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.62May 25, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 13?$4.08May 25, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4.75May 25, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 13?$4.08Mar 13, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 12?$2.08Mar 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 12?$2.00Mar 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$2.00Dec 30, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$8.5KDec 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$4.2KDec 30, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$619.00Dec 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.33Dec 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.2KDec 26, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $2.08Dec 25, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.82Dec 25, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$533.00Dec 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$538.92Dec 23, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$16.08Dec 23, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4.13Dec 22, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $420.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.