International-Rethinking
0xd4d38e15d94c638d00602bd1d4d2da944bf3c5af
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$252.42
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$93.43
Win rate
14%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
150 shares @ 26.9¢·now 46.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$69.53
$29.18
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
350 shares @ 14.6¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.17
$5.08
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
350 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.83
$2.27
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.17
$-11.83
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
350 shares @ 6.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.73
$8.93
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
66075 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-83.98
- YES
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Cavaliers
3771 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.26Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.56Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.14Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.83Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$127.81May 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 31, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$0.90May 31, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$1.57May 31, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 31, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$49.68May 31, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$8.78May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$90.26May 30, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $41.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".