Posh-Hedge
0xd4d5bcfba4190f8e8599de2ff6a87ecc285b1119
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$723.51
Total PnL
$-30.6K
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3196 shares @ 21.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$623.16
$-77.51
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
253 shares @ 13.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.00
$-11.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.01
$1.01
- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.03
$-0.97
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-1.42
- NO
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
38004 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-29.6K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$25.63Jun 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$26.87Jun 13, 09:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$10.18Jun 12, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$4.35Jun 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$2.03Jun 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$1.05Jun 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$1.02Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$2.05Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$3.06Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jun 12, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.08Jun 12, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$5.09Jun 12, 08:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$9.67Jun 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$25.47Jun 11, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$1.70Jun 11, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.75Jun 11, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$4.00Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$3.30Jun 11, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.