Jubilant-Jogging
0xd4df23e1b0c7b2766ea714c495940655657a1dbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.20
Total PnL
$-33.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.12
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$1.76
$0.26
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.08
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$1.13
$0.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 19, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$1.00Mar 19, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$1.00Mar 19, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$1.50Mar 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$1.50Mar 19, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.19Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.23Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.24Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$1.28Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.14Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.20Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.37Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$1.03Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.04Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$1.04Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$1.07Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.08Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.09Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.10Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$1.11Jan 22, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".