Modern-Nonsense
0xd4e429cbf2e18ee77d268454e8197b33f025f16f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$21.75
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
206 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.75
$1.75
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1028 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
730 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
471 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- ISLANDERS
Islanders vs. Jets
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
357 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-111.09
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
278 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.54Jun 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$9.18May 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$68.48May 30, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$35.72May 30, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$104.36May 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$29.85May 24, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$11.29May 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.56May 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$367.12May 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$302.25May 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$6.66May 10, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$50.76May 9, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$105.56May 7, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $36.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.