0xd4f9929d47eea80be7bc03736edc517c7f2b2674
0xd4f9929d47eea80be7bc03736edc517c7f2b2674
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.87
Total PnL
$-20.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.66
$0.06
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
261 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
228 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.45Apr 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.44Apr 17, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.00Apr 5, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.00Apr 5, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 5, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 5, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$16.73Mar 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.60Mar 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$99.42Mar 6, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$22.39Mar 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $23.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.