Worn-Term
0xd4fa38126f74963d776e6a72cc45885067fb4a86
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$573.55
Total PnL
$-914.44
Realised
$-124.62
Win rate
18%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.00
$19.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.79
$13.79
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
200 shares @ 54.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.00
$-17.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
176 shares @ 21.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.55
$25.55
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.89
$3.89
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.58
$-0.42
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
322 shares @ 32.1¢·now 9.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.58
$-73.61
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
152 shares @ 16.5¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.42
$1.42
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.07
$0.57
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$2.60May 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.00May 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.81May 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$2.00May 23, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$2.02May 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.37May 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$2.54May 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.36May 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$6.00May 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.51May 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$1.39May 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$20.41May 23, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$5.00May 23, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$4.17May 23, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$1.86May 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.72May 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$1.50May 23, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.86May 23, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$1.33May 23, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$1.50May 23, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".