Adolescent-Mustard
0xd4ff453a82b5c2cd958a6d41a53a5ec90a30d779
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$189.13
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-4.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12117 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$103.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4963 shares @ 13.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$81.89
$-581.42
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
174 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.70
$-3.30
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
300 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.05
$-18.84
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
25615 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-185.22
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?
2242 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$115.54Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.19Jun 9, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$217.87Jun 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$119.71Jun 9, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$113.95Jun 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$113.73Jun 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$98.29Jun 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03Jun 8, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$256.66Jun 7, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$43.95Jun 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$1.04Jun 4, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$1.04Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$1.04Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$1.04Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$1.04Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$1.04Jun 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$102.90Jun 4, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$1.04Jun 4, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$1.04Jun 4, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $45.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.