Partial-Zither
0xd502bd8d063e951e95dcf279a224acf1de394974
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$215.04
Total PnL
$-142.92
Realised
$20.19
Win rate
27%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
191 shares @ 73.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$187.47
$46.43
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
28 shares @ 42.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.02
$8.26
- YES
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
29 shares @ 56.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.46
$-13.78
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
65 shares @ 34.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.98
$-20.12
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$0.06
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 36.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$0.36
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 34.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.40
$0.06
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?
204 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-44.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
82 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Onyeka Okongwu win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$1.00May 8, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?$3.00May 8, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00May 8, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$21.00May 8, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $2B one day after launch?$198.00May 8, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?$2.21Apr 21, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$17.67Apr 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$25.65Apr 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$169.96Apr 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$181.49Apr 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$8.84Feb 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$14.28Feb 8, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?$575.00Jan 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$108.78Jan 11, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.94Jan 10, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$28.80Jan 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$10.40Jan 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$249.58Jan 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.82Jan 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$115.92Jan 10, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $153.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".