Rare-Collateral
0xd506aa3c9985b2f091e49aa1181e3757c32372a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$6.58
Total PnL
$-412.48
Realised
$9.09
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
6 shares @ 58.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.05
$2.34
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.62
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.47
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
1334 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
840 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.08
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
834 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
353 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-102.96
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
260 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.08Apr 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$24.00Apr 26, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$48.96Apr 9, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein Files" this week (November 24–30)?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be less than 17,500,000?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Marty Supreme" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 24?$0.00Apr 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$41.99Apr 9, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$54.00Apr 8, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$5.00Apr 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$7.80Mar 5, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$2.61Mar 2, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$28.46Mar 2, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$9.99Mar 2, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".