Winged-Weapon
0xd515ae3ecf67973b4958072b3994803001cc2c54
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$473.06
Total PnL
$-141.11
Realised
$1.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
49 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$44.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
46 shares @ 86.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$40.54
$0.54
- ALEX DE MINAUR
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur
30 shares @ 74.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$29.56
$7.56
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
18 shares @ 85.6¢·now 87.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$15.24
$0.24
- KNICKS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$14.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
17 shares @ 70.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$11.72
$-0.28
- CAMILO UGO CARABELLI
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$11.62
$1.62
- ALEJANDRO DAVIDOVICH FOKINA
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet
12 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$11.54
$1.54
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
11 shares @ 89.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.48
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur$15.01May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur$1.00May 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$15.55May 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli$10.04May 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet$5.01May 18, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur$4.06May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$10.01May 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 18, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.05May 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$5.01May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet$5.03May 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur$2.04May 18, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLInternationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova$5.30May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$10.03May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$10.09May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova$5.01May 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.02May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.02May 18, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.04May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.06May 18, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".