Odd-Dance
0xd538c468aa40b7c73faa6e085b7225201fdc0c3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$59.84
Total PnL
$-68.17
Realised
$0.28
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 84.2¢·now 86.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.38
$0.50
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 85.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 69.1¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.44
$-0.76
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 78.8¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.25
$0.27
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 89.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
2 shares @ 64.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
1 shares @ 84.8¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMCattolica (Doubles): Jecan/Pavel vs Logrippo/Ricci$1.08Jun 10, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.08Jun 10, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.30Jun 10, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.02Jun 10, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.01Jun 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.04Jun 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCattolica (Doubles): Jecan/Pavel vs Logrippo/Ricci$1.00Jun 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?$0.95Jun 8, 01:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 5, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.01Jun 5, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.00Jun 5, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.