Tattered-Thrill
0xd55333867a11c158026c01e373c4fa8abc9f6af5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
2407 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$66.32
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1974 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.6K
$108.36
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2041 shares @ 49.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$193.88
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1253 shares @ 79.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$996.08
$-3.92
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5757 shares @ 29.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$800.19
$-895.78
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1250 shares @ 32.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$606.25
$206.25
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
1604 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-413.00
- ATHLETICS
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants
1243 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-615.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
630 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- CINCINNATI REDS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
519 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.00Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.37Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.94Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$11.75Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$14.80Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.85Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$12.46Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$12.22Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.14Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$11.47Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$44.16Jun 26, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$30.74Jun 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$253.45Jun 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$203.90Jun 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$100.00Jun 25, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1000.00Jun 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$300.00Jun 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$506.00Jun 25, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0KJun 25, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.0KJun 25, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $170.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.