Expensive-Anklet
0xd584ec14ada6fee42f7945450d43feaeea8c2187
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$33.15
Total PnL
$-42.37
Realised
$-7.20
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.67
$0.57
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.52
$0.22
- NO
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-0.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.97
$-3.08
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.67
$-0.17
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.52
$-0.57
- YES
Will Trump say "Coward" this week?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$-4.90
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.09
$-0.83
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.59
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Midnight Hammer" during Air Force Academy Address?$3.50May 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$2.10May 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.30May 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.10May 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.92May 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$3.40May 28, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?$3.20May 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$3.35May 28, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$0.83May 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.85May 28, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?$1.02May 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$0.97May 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$2.80May 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.37May 28, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?$2.40May 28, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$0.43May 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.15May 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$3.45May 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$3.20May 28, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?$3.43May 27, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".