0xd58aedbb8567c2e463ee02274ef83f5bd97d5448
0xd58aedbb8567c2e463ee02274ef83f5bd97d5448
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$65.76
Total PnL
$8.02
Realised
$-0.85
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
47 shares @ 11.4¢·now 33.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.67
$10.27
- YES
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
31 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$7.59
$-0.15
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
260 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.85
$-1.49
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 30.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.11
$0.79
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
10 shares @ 35.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.13
$0.61
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.88
$0.28
- YES
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.83
$0.53
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.34
$-0.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.0117h ago
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$0.7121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$0.7821h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$0.0222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.321d ago
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.111d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$2.982d ago
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$1.652d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$1.892d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$3.522d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$0.582d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.872d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$1.242d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$0.782d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$1.842d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$1.732d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.312d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$2.122d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".