Quaint-Watcher
0xd58da6c23b0ee1627d8c6125a6a92c6f8a50fcae
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$155.23
Total PnL
$-463.31
Realised
$-3.39
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.27
$5.27
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
826 shares @ 8.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.96
$-20.04
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7AM ET
1575 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8AM ET
558 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10AM ET
402 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
385 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
374 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
288 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 7AM ET
249 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$40.00Apr 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 6, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 6, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$3.00Apr 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 5, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 5, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$10.00Apr 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$163.56Apr 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$138.60Apr 5, 11:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40.75Mar 23, 13:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Mar 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 12:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $17.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.