Warm-Trail
0xd5b3ae9e70a0697dc74a6a356776440c0b325935
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-2.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 9?
442 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$442.23
$0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 9?
220 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$219.91
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?
212 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$211.58
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9?
118 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$118.43
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 9?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$19.73
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 6?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 9?$219.811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 9?$19.721h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 9?$442.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?$211.494h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9?$118.264h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or higher on May 8?$300.3014h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on May 8?$390.3314h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 8?$160.0014h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 8?$160.3314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on May 8?$226.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or higher on May 8?$300.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on May 8?$163.791d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 8?$159.851d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 8?$160.181d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 7?$895.912d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 7?$114.112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 7?$114.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 7?$595.342d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 7?$299.712d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 6?$15.023d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $174.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".