Adorable-Legislator
0xd5d14388d9ea1dc8ecb1809944405f0f61559cfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$13.97
Total PnL
$-173.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
535 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.55
$-17.86
- YES
Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?
408 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.67
$-3.33
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$-0.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.45
$1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
273 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-99.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
222 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
23 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?$0.48May 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Inflation" during Bret Baier interview?$0.65May 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.55May 16, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?$1.22May 16, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00May 16, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$2.14May 16, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$21.23May 16, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Inflation" during Bret Baier interview?$3.00May 16, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?$7.28May 16, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Inflation" during Bret Baier interview?$31.10May 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?$15.46May 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.25May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.19May 16, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$34.83May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.24May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$25.51May 16, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$25.33May 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$84.51May 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$8.22May 16, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".