0xd5f555e1f9824db989e63edf92e54622e42ed18f
0xd5f555e1f9824db989e63edf92e54622e42ed18f
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.78
Realised
$-3.61
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?
436 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1?
257 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
160 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
136 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET
45 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.98
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
13 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.06Jul 19, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$10.00Jun 28, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET$13.75Jun 14, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Jun 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET$2.00Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$3.06Jun 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.00Jun 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET$2.00Jun 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1?$4.99Jun 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?$5.00Jun 1, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$31.67Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$28.08May 31, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.99May 31, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$38.08May 31, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$19.99May 22, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.