Ready-Dose
0xd5f9770ca3dae63543188f8ee9efd8d3d815ce90
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$30.00
Total PnL
$-95.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.00
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 20?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.00
$0.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.30
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
8925 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.19
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
260 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 20?$9.52May 20, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$9.88May 20, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$82.34May 20, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 20, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$12.22May 20, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.71May 20, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.21May 20, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$10.31May 20, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$218.77May 20, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.00Oct 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$200.00Oct 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Oct 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 13?$4.00Oct 13, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$25.09Oct 13, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by July 31?$44.94Oct 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by July 31?$40.00Jul 29, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$21.00Jul 29, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMBoeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?$7.02Jul 29, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$24.56Jul 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$24.00Mar 12, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $42.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.