Irritating-Arrival
0xd604ee6d99f25a55ad9fcebefff16457f24cb99a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$6.48
Total PnL
$-159.53
Realised
$6.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.18
$-0.02
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
33 shares @ 10.7¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$-1.46
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 12.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.53
$-0.10
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
421 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jun 2, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Jun 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.50Mar 21, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$3.00Mar 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.39Mar 20, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$2.00Mar 16, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.27Mar 16, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.79Mar 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$6.00Mar 16, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".