Separate-Divorce
0xd60f5c4983b9fa85a60d67c483fd3530c8aa5165
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-253.87
Win rate
22%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
127 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.06
$-93.81
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 28?
1270 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-119.99
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
1111 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 7?
900 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-29.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 30?
800 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-92.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 1?
800 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?
800 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-58.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?$95.09Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMZug: Filip Jianu vs Norbert Gombos$95.13Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug: Filip Jianu vs Norbert Gombos$60.10Jul 21, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$60.20Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$31.75Jul 21, 10:06 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.12Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?$13.06Jul 3, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.61Jul 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.96Jul 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.20Jul 3, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.34Jul 3, 21:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$31.15Jun 27, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5$131.77Jun 27, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.24Jun 27, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.93Jun 27, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$55.44Jun 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$164.89Jun 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$222.00Jun 27, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$152.61Jun 27, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
35/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $81.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.