Weary-Chopstick
0xd61157a8385d44c6fff23b7ddc0cac57e61c7ef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$116.73
Total PnL
$-11.18
Realised
$1.07
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.96
$0.03
- YES
Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
8 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$8.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.06
$0.06
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
4 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$4.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?
2 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 30, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 30, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMMike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$0.00Apr 30, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 28, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.00Apr 28, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.03Apr 28, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.