Icky-Causeway
0xd625a955f443a69ed6db1e990a2a175d6e504d7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$123.50
Total PnL
$-633.89
Realised
$-359.09
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.30
$0.80
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 12.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.15
$8.15
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$2.73
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
101 shares @ 5.8¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.24
$3.38
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1415 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.20
$-6.78
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.25
$-0.05
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.35
$1.05
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 24.3¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.87
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$86.40Jun 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$5.15Jun 16, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$5.47Jun 16, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$10.25Jun 16, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$18.52Jun 16, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$52.41Jun 16, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$20.66Jun 16, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$18.18Jun 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.32Jun 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$10.11Jun 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.31Jun 16, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.35Jun 16, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.15Jun 16, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.15Jun 16, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.15Jun 16, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.