Runny-Dredger
0xd6480a9bd0f6bc4327b23abb6c732cff11b45f2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.95
Total PnL
$-5.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.89
$0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.99
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.76
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.75
$0.01
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.62
$0.01
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.45
$-0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.12
$-0.03
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.15Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.46Jun 14, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.89Jun 1, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.61May 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.34Apr 30, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.03Apr 29, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.37Apr 29, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.39Apr 29, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.98Apr 29, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.75Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 30?$1.76Apr 29, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.99Apr 28, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.39Apr 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.36Mar 30, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.02Mar 29, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.98Dec 30, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.56Dec 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.21Dec 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.90Dec 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.11Dec 9, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.