Idle-Biplane
0xd678911aadc5d3b9db0ee1feb1d476e3f9c3f49b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.21
Total PnL
$-3.77
Realised
$3.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 30, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?$1.03Jul 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 30, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.39Jul 30, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 30?$2.04Jul 30, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.04Jul 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 30, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 30?$1.04Jul 29, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 28?$0.00Jul 29, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 28?$1.03Jul 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?$1.45Jul 27, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 26?$2.05Jul 26, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.04Jul 25, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?$1.03Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 25?$5.39Jul 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 26?$1.04Jul 25, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 25?$1.04Jul 25, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 25?$1.04Jul 25, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 26?$0.07Jul 25, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.