Celebrated-Bagpipe
0xd68e45b3c484e2da46d27d3ca2c1bee59c7d8b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.75
Realised
$-14.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
153 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- FLAMENGO
FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - Winner
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?
45 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
32 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.68
- NO
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
7 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$1.46Mar 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.46Mar 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13.81Dec 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - Winner$20.00Dec 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$33.81Dec 17, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$46.49Dec 6, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.82Dec 6, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Dec 2, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$29.45Dec 2, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$20.00Nov 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$36.57Nov 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Oct 15, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?$2.00Oct 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.00Sep 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.82Sep 25, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.00Sep 24, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Sep 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?$2.00Sep 23, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Sep 23, 13:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".