Posh-Prevalence
0xd6ce4fe46ec6d046b2489cc65f2f258ad85a7ec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-178.0K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
69%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
18964 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YULIA PUTINTSEVA
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
17866 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- LEYLAH FERNANDEZ
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
16211 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
14968 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-74.84
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
14000 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- KAYLA DAY
Credit One Charleston Open: Kayla Day vs Paula Badosa
12985 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
10000 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-914.99
- NO
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?
9275 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?
9025 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- HAILEY BAPTISTE
BNP Paribas Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Elena Rybakina
9000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-899.99
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.84Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.82Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$800.00Jul 1, 12:24 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.49Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.96Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.01Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.83Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.43Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.44Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.68Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$44.39Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$26.03Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$33.33Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$44.24Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.05Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$40.37Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$107.73Jun 15, 03:23 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.01Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.20Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.36Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $31.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.