Agreeable-Airbus
0xd6eef76188c7068719ac881460b7431e1ae137a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-644.94
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
96%
153 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
225 shares @ 87.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-196.43
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 20?
198 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on March 20?
194 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.82
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?
152 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
No token launch by March 31
120 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 20?
120 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-83.70
- YES
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
120 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 20?
118 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on March 7?
97 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.50 on March 20?
92 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-32.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.00Jul 23, 20:18 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.13Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.00Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.21Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.69Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.23Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.62Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?$20.00Jul 1, 07:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.66Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.71Jun 30, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 28?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 153 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
153 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 153 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.