0xd6f51ab3bb2082a330a07e591b8d98bc04db4e2b
0xd6f51ab3bb2082a330a07e591b8d98bc04db4e2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.48
Total PnL
$-11.02
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-2.30
- YES
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?$2.00Mar 25, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.09Mar 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Mar 21, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$2.00Jan 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$3.90Jan 14, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$1.00Jan 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$1.00Jan 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?$2.00Jan 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$3.00Jan 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.00Jan 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.49Jan 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$3.16Jan 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$3.33Jan 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.33Jan 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.89Jan 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$4.94Jan 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Jan 9, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 9, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$1.00Jan 4, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$0.35Jan 4, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.