Illustrious-Darn
0xd70408432a4d12654b27a9db3831008336cdcf56
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$6.01
Total PnL
$-254.34
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
86 shares @ 24.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.01
$-14.75
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
1550 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-270.64
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
1375 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-236.49
- NO
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
1314 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-635.61
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
1054 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-269.41
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition
774 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-105.60
- YES
Will another candidate win Bolivian Election?
749 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-64.62
- YES
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?
540 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-37.19
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
509 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-96.94
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
452 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-44.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$380.00May 31, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$68.00May 31, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$54.99May 31, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$67.00May 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$60.00May 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$60.00May 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$24.50May 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$38.32May 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$15.22May 30, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$40.60May 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.38May 30, 18:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $34.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.