Wise-Interpreter
0xd706807a87696333af277be68d4c75e59ad3fac2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$661.88
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$598.88
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
88 shares @ 17.2¢·now 85.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.81
$59.74
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
64 shares @ 77.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$54.96
$4.96
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
556 shares @ 28.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.85
$-104.45
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
121 shares @ 51.1¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.72
$-9.28
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 29.9¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.38
$-17.62
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.19
$-2.81
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
52 shares @ 59.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.10
$-5.90
- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.37
$2.37
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$21.01
$1.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
47 shares @ 42.4¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.28
$0.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $23.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.