Crowded-Molasses
0xd71168009b62d909144c9e87f3abb6b05d9d894f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$26.46
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$16.67
$6.67
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
3 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.02
$0.02
- CLIPPERS
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
3711 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- BUCKS
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
3419 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5
1346 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
- UNDER
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5
140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- UNDER
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5
32 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- UNDER
Pistons vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
19 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.04May 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$10.12May 28, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Suns$88.38May 21, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Suns$36.00Apr 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5$5.00Mar 26, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$2.13Mar 26, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.14Mar 26, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$3.00Mar 9, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$2.00Mar 9, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.00Mar 9, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Wizards$6.17Mar 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Raptors$6.58Mar 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$9.06Mar 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.02Feb 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$9.00Feb 8, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Raptors$5.00Feb 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Wizards$5.00Feb 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 14, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMOdds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday over 30%?$1.02Dec 19, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $268.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".