Doting-Gumshoe
0xd71fa5b720d1a6ac020be7c656a7d5c0a75aaefd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-548.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Michael Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
2990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise less than $2.0 million by December 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
902 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$13.49Jul 5, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$13.49Jul 1, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$10.46Jun 30, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$10.43Jun 30, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$9.62Jun 29, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$9.66May 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$8.91May 14, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$8.92May 14, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$8.32May 13, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino$8.16May 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino$8.00May 12, 09:32 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Mar 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.10Mar 17, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.83Mar 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.97Mar 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$2.99Mar 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$321.39Feb 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLDubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royer$321.39Feb 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royer$260.59Feb 24, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDubai Tennis Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik$260.59Feb 24, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $96.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.