White-Sofa
0xd73bfe62436784c9f5b8fa4681d8960e9da4bf60
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-49.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
8114 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
4394 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-81.90
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?
2000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- 3DMAX
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
1525 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-350.75
- UP
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 4?
1201 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
1000 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- G2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
900 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-241.67
- FNATIC
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
809 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-204.77
- PLAYERS
Counter-Strike: Players vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
772 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
606 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-97.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$117.17Jun 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$116.86Jun 26, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$99.45Jun 19, 21:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$100.14Jun 15, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106.29Jun 15, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?$606.67Jun 15, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?$93.32Jun 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$195.20Jun 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$202.94Jun 15, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $114.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.