Simplistic-Lollipop
0xd750fbff15b4551c0de17c00b4e52cae35e9c2fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-31.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
1 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 19?
358 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 19?
93 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 29?
71 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 19?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$6.97Apr 3, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$6.97Apr 3, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.54Apr 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.96Apr 3, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Apr 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Apr 3, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Apr 3, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Apr 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Apr 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$6.37Apr 3, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$1.00Apr 3, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$1.00Apr 3, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$0.07Apr 3, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4.00Mar 26, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 29?$0.43Mar 26, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 19?$0.04Mar 18, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".