Embellished-Midnight
0xd774ceb064afe3365b3f51f710f4a5c7fdb8afc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$34.11
Total PnL
$-260.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.42
$-0.58
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
27 shares @ 37.5¢·now 18.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.99
$-5.01
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.71
$-1.29
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
21 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-9.82
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
336 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$5.00Jun 11, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$1.00Jun 10, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.02Jun 10, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$5.00Jun 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$1.00Jun 9, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$10.64Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$20.00Jun 8, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.08Jun 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?$1.04Jun 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$1.05Jun 6, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 6, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$5.41Jun 4, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win on 2026-06-03?$8.32Jun 3, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?$7.99Jun 3, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?$1.03Jun 3, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.